你就不用帮德国说话了，德国不需要和俄罗斯宣战啊，但是俄罗斯都入侵乌克兰本土4个月了，德国还要乌克兰保证不准攻击俄罗斯本土，这尼玛都是来搞笑的

俄罗斯现在连小弟哈萨克斯坦都反水了。更别说什么芬兰瑞典乌克兰欧盟了。现在俄罗斯就是破鼓万人锤。估计几十年都翻不了身了。

俄罗斯的几千枚核弹还一颗没消耗呢，给波兰一百个胆都不敢下场参战

最主要的是欧美都是民主国家，又过惯了躺平的好日子。抗苦日子的韧性怎么比得上地大物博还独裁的大毛？

德国人无所谓了.

德国现在的民意调查, 绿党火的一B .

德国绿党极其厌恶俄罗斯和中国2个专制国家.

现在德国绿党 上升幅度极大.

民意调查 极其厌恶俄罗斯和中国.

多看看新闻。俄罗斯华人的录像显示俄罗斯日用品物价已经上涨50%或者更多了。超市都没人逛了。这才4个月。俄罗斯这经济估计1-3年内肯定会挎。俄罗斯人未必能忍受买不起洗衣粉洗头膏，开不起车买不起电器的农耕生活。最后肯定会受不了造反的。

The war is not yet over, but Ukraine has already lost | The Hill

The war is not over yet, but the outcome is already clear. Ukraine has lost.

It pains me to say this, of course. Ukraine has fought a just war against an unjust – even barbaric – aggressor. And the country has fought well. Indeed, not only have the Ukrainians put up a better defensive fight than was generally expected in the run-up to the war, but they have taken the fight to the enemy, even pushing the Russians back on several fronts.

But Ukraine has lost the war nonetheless.

Why do I say this? Because, at the end of the day, Russia will have imposed its will on Ukraine while Ukraine will have achieved almost none of the goals – other than survival – it is pursuing on the battlefield and at the negotiating table.

That Russia will end up imposing its will on Ukraine now seems beyond reasonable doubt. Despite suffering terrible casualties and embarrassing battlefield setbacks, Moscow has already forced Kyiv to concede that NATO membership, and probably European Union (EU) membership too, is a non-starter. The separatist enclaves in Donetsk and Luhansk are in no danger of reverting to Ukrainian control, and the only question in the south of the country is how much territory will be added to the Crimean lands pried from Kyiv’s control in 2014.

Ukraine, on the other hand, will likely achieve almost none of its goals. To be sure, Ukraine will continue to inflict losses on the Russian forces, preventing them from taking Kyiv and other major cities and pushing them back here and there in successful, if limited, counter-offensives. But Kyiv will not achieve its operational-level objectives of expelling the Russians from all the territory it has lost since Feb. 24. It will not win a decisive battlefield victory that will vanquish once and for all the Russian invaders.

是的。俄乌战争走向跟我之前预计的一模一样。就是长期化的边界战争。这才是刚刚才开始。

俄罗斯闪电战失败后这场战争他就输了。没有一个国家能禁得起每天死几百个人，每天战争投人几十亿。打了四个月俄罗斯GDP已经下降了10%，国内物价高涨50%。想想再打一年会是什么样子?

欧洲已经计划年底把对俄罗斯的能源依赖下降到10%。世界能源市场重新洗牌。中国印度会买更多的俄罗斯能源。然后欧洲会买更多中东和南美的能源。而中国印度买的俄罗斯能源也是比较便宜的价格买的。俄罗斯占不到什么便宜。反倒损失欧洲这个大客户会让他的经济雪上加霜。

灭国是不可能的，战线局限于乌东，肯定是欧美和俄罗斯桌子底下的协议。那么多领导人基辅一日游，难道真的是冒险？根本不是，底线早就有协议了，不要乱碰基辅