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Huaren
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haojiang.murex

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a critic on Scottishfold's view on 150T M2 supply

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2016-06-03 17:38:29

this is a short economic critic on Scottishfold's view on china's 150T M2 supply.
1. M0 = this is bank notes. i.e. currency in circulation.
2. M1 = M0 + Checking account.
3. M2 = M1 + Saving account.

now, please note, M1 means non-interest bearing money. i.e Money which can be withdraw and in circulation almost immediately. they do not accumulate any interest. therefore, in economy, this means the spending power of economy. ie. Demand of society in theory.
M2, it includes the Saving account. The saving account means it can be withdrawn and goes into circulation almost immediately and it also bears interest. What does interest mean? it means the banking system has the incentive to invest these savings back into industry to make profits. Otherwise, banks will not be able to pay for those interests.

Therefore, a direct interpretation of M2 increase is that more capital is available to be invested into industry. i.e, without considering the change of M1 and other factors, M2 increase means more investment and economy expanding.

my critic concludes.
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shui.zhou

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2016-06-03 18:42:32

this is a short economic critic on Scottishfold's view on china's 150T M2 supply.
1. M0 = this is bank notes. i.e. currency in circulation.
2. M1 = M0 + Checking account.
3. M2 = M1 + Saving account.

now, please note, M1 means non-interest bearing money. i.e Money which can be withdraw and in circulation almost immediately. they do not accumulate any interest. therefore, in economy, this means the spending power of economy. ie. Demand of society in theory.
M2, it includes the Saving account. The saving account means it can be withdrawn and goes into circulation almost immediately and it also bears interest. What does interest mean? it means the banking system has the incentive to invest these savings back into industry to make profits. Otherwise, banks will not be able to pay for those interests.

Therefore, a direct interpretation of M2 increase is that more capital is available to be invested into industry. i.e, without considering the change of M1 and other factors, M2 increase means more investment and economy expanding.

my critic concludes.





haojiang.murex 发表于 6/3/2016 5:38:29 PM [url=http://forums.huaren.us/showtopic.aspx?topicid=2022917&postid=71846804#71846804]

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jiang_zeng

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2016-06-03 19:44:16

我一般把Scottishfold的帖子当笑话看,但是你发的这个帖子结论也是不对的,定义正确结论不对,中国的money supply确实太高了,如果人民币相对应的贬值,就没关系,像台湾和日本一样,但是咱们的党妈害怕资金外流严重,在这一直撑着,就只会造成内部资产泡沫。

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