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Huaren
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dukenyc125

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如果Kamala真能赢下Iowa,那么意味着Kamala vs Trump会是412 vs126 的疯狂胜利

8787

58

2024-11-02 21:34:18

因为这意味着TX, FL甚至OH都会变蓝


会不会这样疯狂?让我们周二拭目以待


8012642

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athenana

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2024-11-02 21:35:42

低调低调,投票投票💪💪💪

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Mediterranean

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2024-11-02 21:39:28

这些都是噪音,投票投票!

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foxhunter

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2024-11-02 21:40:08

赢不了,总有outlier出来造话题。同一天,另一个poll,川领先9。

今天还有poll说川哈Virginia打平呢。前几天也有poll说川NH领先呢。这种outlier不必认真。

关键自己要有脑子。

https://chismstrategies.com/final-surveys-2024/

Virginia has the most surprising result of the three states we surveyed. While there have been few surveys of the state, those we have seen have mostly shown Harris performing close to Biden’s 2020 numbers and Tim Kaine running significantly ahead of Harris.

However, our survey tells a different story, with Harris up by .7% (45.2%-44.5%), a statistical tie, and Kaine not leading his Republican opponent Hung Cao by much more (46.4%-44.9%).

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dukenyc125

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2024-11-02 21:53:16

foxhunter 发表于 2024-11-02 21:40

赢不了,总有outlier出来造话题。同一天,另一个poll,川领先9。

今天还有poll说川哈Virginia打平呢。前几天也有poll说川NH领先呢。这种outlier不必认真。

关键自己要有脑子。

https://chismstrategies.com/final-surveys-2024/

Virginia has the most surprising result of the three states we surveyed. While there have been few surveys of the state, those we have seen have mostly shown Harris performing close to Biden’s 2020 numbers and Tim Kaine running significantly ahead of Harris.

However, our survey tells a different story, with Harris up by .7% (45.2%-44.5%), a statistical tie, and Kaine not leading his Republican opponent Hung Cao by much more (46.4%-44.9%).


Selzer 在Iowa民调界是神一般的存在,最权威的,到你嘴里变成了outlier


J. Ann Selzer is an American political pollster who is the president of the Des Moines, Iowa-based polling firm Selzer & Company, which she founded in 1996.


你说的那些野鸡maga poll,给她提鞋都不够

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ljmdtc

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2024-11-02 21:58:11

没啥好吵的,还有三天就出结果了

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seanxyz2

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2024-11-02 21:58:35

希望harris大赢,也是告诉共和党必须跟MAGA彻底切割, MAGA种族主义不死,永远不投任何共和党

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minqidev

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2024-11-02 22:00:58

如果ohio本地poll只领先3%,那真是出大麻烦了。

按道理,ohio,应该领先10%以上

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me3

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2024-11-02 22:01:48

回复 4楼 foxhunter 的帖子

你是预测Trump大胜吧。告诉你一个好消息,今天kalshi 赌市已经翻转了,Harris 占优,所以是你们赶紧买进trump的好时机,买一块得两块,前些天连一块五都得不到。发财的机会来了,这个网站美国人可以买。

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mindstorm

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2024-11-02 22:06:40

me3 发表于 2024-11-02 22:01
回复 4楼 foxhunter 的帖子

你是预测Trump大胜吧。告诉你一个好消息,今天kalshi 赌市已经翻转了,Harris 占优,所以是你们赶紧买进trump的好时机,买一块得两块,前些天连一块五都得不到。发财的机会来了,这个网站美国人可以买。


也刚听说赌局翻了,不知道是不是普通现象 。

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