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Huaren
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Namama

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2024-11-06 17:49:08

至少不用再忍受毒品大麻,homeless,非法移民,变性,零元购,黑命贵等等。这几年猪党把真的把美国搞得乌烟瘴气受够了


马甲马甲马马甲 发表于 2024-11-06 01:13

所有这些,基本都是地方政治决定的,谁当总统对这些事情没啥影响。。。


哪怕就是非法移民,川普任上,大量民主党执政的州把自己变成了sanctuary city / state,摆明车马不配合移民局执法


Huaren
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2wawa

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2024-11-06 18:04:03

Sparky08 发表于 2024-11-06 01:05

这奥巴马对拜登评价很准啊


他埋的雷所以门儿清?

Huaren
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brama

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2024-11-06 18:56:13

大选已经结束,大家都回归正常,至于川普当选总统,那就当选吧,看看他做得怎么样,华人在美国只要过得自己开心就好,无论黄左还是黄油,开心就好。

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随意LetGo

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2024-11-06 19:53:28

爱玉 发表于 2024-11-06 14:34

Re: 如果没记错,

总统 + 两院 + 最高法院,都归于一尊,是美国有史的这248年以来,唯一的一次大选结果。


还是有过先例的:


  • Between 2001 and 2007, Republicans controlled at certain points all three branches while President George W. Bush occupied the White House. GOP control was interrupted between 2001 and 2003, as the Senate majority flipped to the Democrats as one senator switched his party affiliation, one senator died, and when the 2002 midterm elections shifted control of the upper chamber.


  • From 1961-1969, Democrats controlled all three branches during the administrations of Presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson.


  • The 83rd Congress (1953-1955), during the presidency of Republican Dwight D. Eisenhower, saw the deaths of nine senators and the resignation of one. These changes shifted the balance of power in the Senate with each new replacement, according to the U.S. Senate website. When Republicans held the Senate majority during those years, all branches of government were under Republican-control, as the party also held the White House and Supreme Court.


  • From 1937-1945, Democrats controlled all three branches of government during the administrations of Presidents Franklin D. Roosevelt and Harry S. Truman.


  • And from 1927-1933, Republicans controlled all three branches of the government when Presidents Calvin Coolidge and Herbert Hoover occupied the White House.


出处: https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/fact-check/2016/12/01/fact-check-one-party-three-branches-federal-government/94636286/


这些例子里面包括最高法院吗?

Huaren
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B777

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2024-11-06 19:56:01

爱玉 发表于 2024-11-06 14:34

Re: 如果没记错,

总统 + 两院 + 最高法院,都归于一尊,是美国有史的这248年以来,唯一的一次大选结果。


还是有过先例的:


  • Between 2001 and 2007, Republicans controlled at certain points all three branches while President George W. Bush occupied the White House. GOP control was interrupted between 2001 and 2003, as the Senate majority flipped to the Democrats as one senator switched his party affiliation, one senator died, and when the 2002 midterm elections shifted control of the upper chamber.


  • From 1961-1969, Democrats controlled all three branches during the administrations of Presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson.


  • The 83rd Congress (1953-1955), during the presidency of Republican Dwight D. Eisenhower, saw the deaths of nine senators and the resignation of one. These changes shifted the balance of power in the Senate with each new replacement, according to the U.S. Senate website. When Republicans held the Senate majority during those years, all branches of government were under Republican-control, as the party also held the White House and Supreme Court.


  • From 1937-1945, Democrats controlled all three branches of government during the administrations of Presidents Franklin D. Roosevelt and Harry S. Truman.


  • And from 1927-1933, Republicans controlled all three branches of the government when Presidents Calvin Coolidge and Herbert Hoover occupied the White House.


出处: https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/fact-check/2016/12/01/fact-check-one-party-three-branches-federal-government/94636286/


你没看懂我的原文。


我说的是:大选日 或 总统就任日,总统+两院+最高院的 状态。


最高法院大法官不是简单的全民票选,但因为,川普在上一任,送了三个大法官进最高法院,加上原有的三个保守派大法官,形成了被“川普党”实质控制的局面。





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随意LetGo

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2024-11-06 19:56:49

宇宙洪荒 发表于 2024-11-06 15:26
回复 1楼 B777 的帖子

1921-1923:

President: Warren G. Harding (Republican) was elected president in 1920 and served from 1921 until his death in 1923.

Senate: The Republicans controlled the Senate from 1919 to 1931.

House of Representatives: The Republicans also controlled the House of Representatives from 1919 to 1931.

Supreme Court: During Harding's presidency, he appointed Chief Justice William H. Taft, who had been president from 1909 to 1913. Harding also appointed three other justices to the Supreme Court, significantly increasing the Republican influence on the Court.


1929–1933:

President: Herbert Hoover became the 31st president of the United States in March 1929. He was a Republican, and his presidency lasted until 1933.

Senate: The Republican Party controlled the Senate from 1925 to 1931. This meant that the GOP held the majority in the Senate during Hoover’s presidency for a significant portion of the time.

House of Representatives: The Republicans controlled the House of Representatives from 1921 to 1931. Therefore, during most of Hoover’s presidency, the Republicans maintained control of both the Senate and the House.

Supreme Court: By the time Hoover took office, the Supreme Court was already under significant Republican influence, with a majority of justices appointed by Republican presidents. During Hoover's time in office, he appointed four justices to the Supreme Court, further cementing Republican dominance in the judiciary.



基本上就一任,还是个总统中间死了换人的,估计总统的权威没有多么大。

Huaren
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B777

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2024-11-06 21:51:55

蓝天白云2020 发表于 2024-11-06 11:24

楼主在预测一下接下来4年吧


未来半年里,不确定因素很多。


所以,这半年里,码字看心情,也许会零零碎碎地偶尔说几句,但,至少半年内,不会正式认真地,长篇大论地预测了。


只能透露,我心中的两三套预测草稿,可能,与大家看到的,那些大媒体和大V们,说的流行观点,都有较大不同。

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sduser2015

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2024-11-06 22:08:27

回复 1楼 B777 的帖子

mark

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jeso1

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2024-11-06 22:22:39

马甲马甲马马甲 发表于 2024-11-06 01:13

至少不用再忍受毒品大麻,homeless,非法移民,变性,零元购,黑命贵等等。这几年猪党把真的把美国搞得乌烟瘴气受够了


大麻,变性,非法移民怎么骚扰你家了。

八辈子都碰不上

但是你家被骂中国病毒,政府出面禁止求学买房是真真切切摆在面前的

初始化编辑器...

到底了