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LATEST NBC/WSJ/Marist poll: Donald Trump Leads Cruz by 15 Points in Crucial Indiana Race
[url=http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/donald-trump-leads-cruz-15-points-crucial-indiana-race-n565356]http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/donald-trump-leads-cruz-15-points-crucial-indiana-race-n565356[/url]
Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially decisive May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll.
Trump gets support from 49 percent of likely Republican primary voters — followed by Cruz at 34 percent and John Kasich at 13 percent. If that margin in Indiana holds on Tuesday, Trump would be on a glide path towards obtaining the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the Republican nomination on a first ballot at the GOP convention in July.
"In Indiana, Trump is positioned to corral all the [state's 57] delegates, which will be a big prize toward winning the nomination outright," says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. "Clinton and Sanders are more likely to divide the delegate pool, which will do little to change the narrative on the Democratic side."
Fifty Eight Percent Disapprove of Cruz-Kasich Alliance
The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll was conducted April 26-28 — so mostly after Trump's six-consecutive primary victories in Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states, as well as after Cruz and Kasich announced an alliance/truce, whereby Kasich wouldn't campaign in Indiana to help Cruz (in exchange for Cruz not campaigning in Oregon and New Mexico).
But 58 percent of likely Republican primary voters in Indiana say they disapprove of Cruz and Kasich teaming up to beat Trump in the Hoosier State, while 34 percent say they approve of the move.
What's more, only 22 percent consider the Cruz-Kasich alliance a major factor in deciding their vote, 15 percent say it's a minor factor and 63 percent say it would play no factor at all.
Trump Leads Clinton in Hypothetical Hoosier State Match-Up
In a hypothetical general-election matchup, Trump is ahead of Clinton by seven points among registered voters in this traditionally Republican state, 48 percenhuaren.us 41 percent.
But Trump's lead is just one point when matched up against Bernie Sanders, 47 percenhuaren.us 46 percent.
Meanwhile, Cruz also is ahead of Clinton by seven points (50 percenhuaren.us 43 percent), while Kasich leads the former secretary of state by 19 (56 percenhuaren.us 37 percent).
Kasich beats Sanders by one point (47 percenhuaren.us 46 percent), but Sanders leads Cruz by three (48 percenhuaren.us 45 percent).
The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Indiana was conducted by live-caller interviews (via landline and cell phone) among 2,149 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 2.1 percent
[url=http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/donald-trump-leads-cruz-15-points-crucial-indiana-race-n565356]http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/donald-trump-leads-cruz-15-points-crucial-indiana-race-n565356[/url]
Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially decisive May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll.
Trump gets support from 49 percent of likely Republican primary voters — followed by Cruz at 34 percent and John Kasich at 13 percent. If that margin in Indiana holds on Tuesday, Trump would be on a glide path towards obtaining the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the Republican nomination on a first ballot at the GOP convention in July.
"In Indiana, Trump is positioned to corral all the [state's 57] delegates, which will be a big prize toward winning the nomination outright," says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. "Clinton and Sanders are more likely to divide the delegate pool, which will do little to change the narrative on the Democratic side."
Fifty Eight Percent Disapprove of Cruz-Kasich Alliance
The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll was conducted April 26-28 — so mostly after Trump's six-consecutive primary victories in Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states, as well as after Cruz and Kasich announced an alliance/truce, whereby Kasich wouldn't campaign in Indiana to help Cruz (in exchange for Cruz not campaigning in Oregon and New Mexico).
But 58 percent of likely Republican primary voters in Indiana say they disapprove of Cruz and Kasich teaming up to beat Trump in the Hoosier State, while 34 percent say they approve of the move.
What's more, only 22 percent consider the Cruz-Kasich alliance a major factor in deciding their vote, 15 percent say it's a minor factor and 63 percent say it would play no factor at all.
Trump Leads Clinton in Hypothetical Hoosier State Match-Up
In a hypothetical general-election matchup, Trump is ahead of Clinton by seven points among registered voters in this traditionally Republican state, 48 percenhuaren.us 41 percent.
But Trump's lead is just one point when matched up against Bernie Sanders, 47 percenhuaren.us 46 percent.
Meanwhile, Cruz also is ahead of Clinton by seven points (50 percenhuaren.us 43 percent), while Kasich leads the former secretary of state by 19 (56 percenhuaren.us 37 percent).
Kasich beats Sanders by one point (47 percenhuaren.us 46 percent), but Sanders leads Cruz by three (48 percenhuaren.us 45 percent).
The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Indiana was conducted by live-caller interviews (via landline and cell phone) among 2,149 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 2.1 percent
Warren Buffett on Donald Trump Presidency: We'll Be Fine
[url=http://fortune.com/2016/04/30/warren-buffett-donald-trump/]http://fortune.com/2016/04/30/warren-buffett-donald-trump/[/url]
Inside Cruz’s camp, confidence crumbles
[url=http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/ted-cruz-campaign-nervous-222675]http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/ted-cruz-campaign-nervous-222675[/url]
Fivethirtyeight.com forecasts Trump to have a 94% chance to win Indiana.
[url=http://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/donald-trump/]http://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/donald-trump/[/url]
Trump is also up 17% in Oregon and 27% in California...or Cruz is down 17% in Oregon and 27% in California.
U.S. REP. JIMMY DUNCAN ENDORSES DONALD TRUMP FOR PRESIDENT
[url=https://www.donaldjtrump.com/press-releases/donald-j.-trump-foreign-policy-]https://www.donaldjtrump.com/press-releases/donald-j.-trump-foreign-policy-[/url]
Today, Rep. John J. Duncan, Jr., one of the most senior Republicans in the House and the only Republican remaining in Congress who voted against the Iraq War today endorsed Donald Trump for President.
“With only four percent of the world’s population, we buy 25 percent of the world’s goods. Every country wants into our markets. We have tremendous leverage on trade we have not used. Donald Trump will do that.”
“With 58 percent of the people in this world having to get by on less than $4.00 a day, hundreds of millions wanhuaren.us come here. Our economy and infrastructure could not handle all these people, and this means our immigration laws must be enforced. Donald Trump will do that.”
“Finally, almost all Americans now believe it has been a horrible mistake to spend trillions fighting no-win wars in the Middle East. We must start rebuilding our own Country. Donald Trump will do that.”
“For all these reasons, I enthusiastically endorse Donald Trump for President.”
"I am pleased to have the support of Representative Duncan (TN) who is one of the most fiscally conservative Members of the House. If more Members voted like Rep. Duncan, we wouldn't be wasting trillions of the taxpayer dollars in foreign countries," said Trump.
[url=https://www.donaldjtrump.com/press-releases/donald-j.-trump-foreign-policy-]https://www.donaldjtrump.com/press-releases/donald-j.-trump-foreign-policy-[/url]
Today, Rep. John J. Duncan, Jr., one of the most senior Republicans in the House and the only Republican remaining in Congress who voted against the Iraq War today endorsed Donald Trump for President.
“With only four percent of the world’s population, we buy 25 percent of the world’s goods. Every country wants into our markets. We have tremendous leverage on trade we have not used. Donald Trump will do that.”
“With 58 percent of the people in this world having to get by on less than $4.00 a day, hundreds of millions wanhuaren.us come here. Our economy and infrastructure could not handle all these people, and this means our immigration laws must be enforced. Donald Trump will do that.”
“Finally, almost all Americans now believe it has been a horrible mistake to spend trillions fighting no-win wars in the Middle East. We must start rebuilding our own Country. Donald Trump will do that.”
“For all these reasons, I enthusiastically endorse Donald Trump for President.”
"I am pleased to have the support of Representative Duncan (TN) who is one of the most fiscally conservative Members of the House. If more Members voted like Rep. Duncan, we wouldn't be wasting trillions of the taxpayer dollars in foreign countries," said Trump.
'A Ton of Democrats are Going to Vote for Trump': Democratic Strategist Says Trump Will Beat Hillary http://nation.foxnews.com/2016/04/28/ton-democrats-are-going-vote-trump-democratic-strategist-says-trump-will-beat-hillary
下面五州初选取胜的概率 AS OF 5/1
[url=https://www.predictit.org/Browse/Group/72/May-Primaries]https://www.predictit.org/Browse/Group/72/May-Primaries[/url]
TRUMP VS CRUZ
IN 92:10
NE 69:35
WV 98:2
OR 96:6
WA 89:12
CRUZ又开始偷选票了,偷船长在Arisona的 delegates,船长在亚利桑那州是压倒性胜利,State Treasurer都气炸了,尼玛,cruz真是个 lucifer in the flesh and miserable son of bitch!
[url=https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/]https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/[/url]
CRUZ又开始偷选票了,偷船长在Arisona的 delegates,船长在亚利桑那州是压倒性胜利,State Treasurer都气炸了,尼玛,cruz真是个 lucifer in the flesh and miserable son of bitch!
[url=https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/]https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/[/url]
mangooo26 发表于 5/1/2016 1:29:05 PM [url=http://forums.huaren.us/showtopic.aspx?topicid=1868851&postid=71560952#71560952][/url]
[url=https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/]https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/[/url]
mangooo26 发表于 5/1/2016 1:29:05 PM [url=http://forums.huaren.us/showtopic.aspx?topicid=1868851&postid=71560952#71560952][/url]
一点用都没有,可能都不会有CONTESTED CONVENTION了。
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CRUZ又开始偷选票了,偷船长在Arisona的 delegates,船长在亚利桑那州是压倒性胜利,State Treasurer都气炸了,尼玛,cruz真是个 lucifer in the flesh and miserable son of bitch!
[url=https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/]https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/[/url]
mangooo26 发表于 5/1/2016 1:29:05 PM [url=http://forums.huaren.us/showtopic.aspx?topicid=1868851&postid=71560952#71560952][/url]
[url=https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/]https://www.facebook.com/jody.thyfault.7/videos/10208049571110174/[/url]
mangooo26 发表于 5/1/2016 1:29:05 PM [url=http://forums.huaren.us/showtopic.aspx?topicid=1868851&postid=71560952#71560952][/url]
正是TRUMP说的"the system is rigged". CRUZ要是象RUBIO那样退得有风度, 很多TRUMP的支持者可能会在几年后原谅他, 这次看透了这个小人, 以后是NEVER CRUZ了.
初始化编辑器...
到底了
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