很有可能大选结果会非常让人震惊

IOWA poll表明65: senior voters who are 65 and older favor Harris. But senior women support her by a more than 2-to-1 margin, 63% to 28%, while senior men favor her by just 2 percentage points, 47% to 45%. 

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

65岁以上选民全美占比30%=37086000票， 其中女性比例应该高于男性而且turnout也高

In the U.S., women generally outnumber men among voters aged 65 and older. This difference is largely due to women’s longer life expectancy. For context:

• Among Americans 65 and older, women make up around 55-60% of the population.
• Voting data often reflects this trend, with women participating at higher rates than men in this age group.
• In terms of exact voter turnout, recent estimates suggest that women in this age group may cast 56-58% of the votes, while men account for about 42-44%.

综合下来，这个年龄段票数分布会是60% vs 40% in favor of Kamala。

如果这些选民全部投票，Kamala多拿七百四十万票，在这65岁以上 voter里。

所以，结论是女性可能决定本次选举结果。

再分享一个我的模型输入数据，省的一群川粉过来瞎喊

Early voting - Georgia 

👩 Female - 55.6% (+12)

👨 Male - 44.6%

你做了个很强的假设女的会投哈姐。但被PUA傻了的女的太多了。你去小红书上看看，华川粉全是女的

你做了个很强的假设女的会投哈姐。但被PUA傻了的女的太多了。你去小红书上看看，华川粉全是女的

那群低IQ人群大部分都没有投票权

有投票权的都躲在蓝州吃我交的tax给它们狗粮的福利呢

你可以直接把那群低IQ人群拉黑

小红书难道不是中国的社交网站吗？什么时候代表美国女性的想法了？那上面就没有几个可以投票的人。

至于为啥很多中国人喜欢川普，第一很多中国人把美国当作竞争对手，所以当然想美国上来一个破坏力很大的总统把美国搞乱了。第二绝大多数中国人是俄粉，听从普大帝的指挥，所以支持川普的原因不就很清楚了吗？