NEW: per @NBCNews final poll, share of voters who rate their election interest as at least 9 out of 10, by gender...
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 4, 2024
Year: Men/Women
2008: 79%/78%
2012: 79%/80%
2016: 76%/77%
2020: 84%/83%
2024: 74%/80%
If Harris wins tomorrow, this will be a big reason why.
https://x.com/redistrict/status/1853496128802607218
今年的数据是不是可以解释的，女人的投票率高是因为abortion ban 真正地影响到了她们或者是她们的女儿，孙女的生活和权利，这是她们通过多年努力才拥有的权利。而男人的投票率低有可能是一些比较保守的黑人男人和拉丁裔的男人不想投Harris，可是他们也不想投川普这个种族主义分子，可能干脆弃权了。
Trump rally in Reading, PA, is supposed to start in 10 minutes. The arena is not even half full. pic.twitter.com/kF74y9Zbay
— David Corn (@DavidCornDC) November 4, 2024
我觉得50-50，但偏T. 主要是经济问题，普通人确实对过去的通胀不满，虽然已经过去。
问题在PA.
65+女性多，这次因为堕胎转投H不少，所以Iowa出现偏H. 但PA 堕胎法案比较松，女性没有那么迫切。
看270towin.com, 自己调EC。如果H不赢PA会很难。所以现在赌场又开始偏T.
但polling网站又说概率最大的2个结果是要么T横扫，要么H横扫。
感觉H赢MI,WI，输掉其它。就输了。
很难想象H能赢NC和GA. 过去历史，O8第一届赢NC,第二届输了。NC不是民主党州。GA也不是。Biden 赢GA是运气。
所以H能赢很悬。
你这个分析有道理，可是尽管abortion ban 在宾州没有Iowa 严，但是宾州本来就比Iowa蓝。
Harris 这边今天把三场竞选集会都放在了宾州。
网上一个数据显示周六Harris 在宾州的door-knocking达到了800000，而trump 阵营外包给Musk 的在宾州的door -knocking 还不到10000次。
你们看这个了吗
NC看起来也没什么人气啊
This is NORTH CAROLINA the morning before the election. Donald Trump is on stage in 90 mins time at this 7,600 seater stadium and there are NO huge crowds outside and people are still walking in. I have never seen this at a Trump rally in a red state. pic.twitter.com/AXYFP3n7m0
— Phil Lavelle 💪🏽/📺 (@phillavelle) November 4, 2024
https://x.com/phillavelle/status/1853432497008234532
你们看这个了吗
This is getting ugly, 马斯克原来是个跟川普一样的大骗子，难怪穿一条裤子
Covid。T乱了，显示能力不足。2个senator选举，T居然策略上喊gop选民不要去选
呵呵，你知道参议员选了三回吗。
事不过三听过吗
是不是川粉都去家里磨刀霍霍准备明天开战啦？
要不怎么能没人去rally呢。
NC看起来也没什么人气啊
This is NORTH CAROLINA the morning before the election. Donald Trump is on stage in 90 mins time at this 7,600 seater stadium and there are NO huge crowds outside and people are still walking in. I have never seen this at a Trump rally in a red state. pic.twitter.com/AXYFP3n7m0
— Phil Lavelle 💪🏽/📺 (@phillavelle) November 4, 2024
https://x.com/phillavelle/status/1853432497008234532
都跑了
Lots of people were leaving the Trump rally early today. pic.twitter.com/YstB4DNPPc
— The Good Liars (@TheGoodLiars) November 4, 2024
https://x.com/thegoodliars/status/1853515063291707439
都跑了
Lots of people were leaving the Trump rally early today. pic.twitter.com/YstB4DNPPc
— The Good Liars (@TheGoodLiars) November 4, 2024
https://x.com/thegoodliars/status/1853515063291707439
Leaving early 又怎样，该投还不是要投。
到底了
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