3航母是为了拖延时间的,

阻挡美军进军的时间

如果3艘母在那儿,

美军敢先动手,那陆舰反舰导弹就会摧毁美国的航母.

你没看新闻????解放军在新疆已经1:1复制了福建号航母,

专门用来练习导弹打击

输是不可能的.

台湾离中国大陆那么近,

100多公里 , 中国大陆PHL-191远程火箭炮不用登陆就可以轰炸台湾西海岸

一旦战争启动,中国大陆的工业制造全转向军工生产, 那火箭炮的产量会比整个世界加起来还要多.

如果台湾不投降,那最后台湾只会变成一片废墟. 这和乌克兰完全不一样,

乌克兰面积是台湾的17倍大, 而俄罗斯的工业制造能力不强,无法大规模的制造弹药.

美国想要让战争失败,那只能进攻中国大陆本土,彻底催毁大陆的工业基础才行.

你想多了,

维吾尔极端宗教份子比台湾人有血性的多. 直接拿刀砍人,甚至砍武警,

现在还不是被治的服服贴贴.

如果是武统结束的话, 深绿在战争中就会被杀死, 浅绿会被送到西部荒漠,

深蓝会留在台湾负责管理.

如果是和统,绿营才可能在台湾生存

J-20现在都已经300多架,

都是国产发动机了,

至于芯片就更搞笑了. 你不会认为军用的芯片对制程要求很高吧

一般军用芯片28nm足够用了.

导弹可没有手机那么体积那么小,需要用3nm. 导弹用45nm都足够

去看看国会的质询会议上,商务部长已经开始担心中国大陆向世界倾销 成熟制程的芯片了(28nm以上)

2024/1月/15号的新闻:

[News] China’s Chip Production Capacity Reportedly Set to Grow 60% in 3 Years, Doubling in 5 Years

https://www.trendforce.com/news/2024/01/15/news-chinas-chip-production-capacity-reportedly-set-to-grow-60-in-3-years-doubling-in-5-years/

According to a report from IJIWEI, research by Barclays analysts indicates that China’s chip manufacturing capacity is expected to more than double within the next 5 to 7 years,

surpassing market expectations significantly. The analysis of 48 chip manufacturers with production facilities in China suggests that 60% of the expected additional capacity may come online within the next 3 years.

TrendForce statistics reveal that, excluding 7 dormant wafer fabs, China currently has 44 wafer fabs, with 25 of them being 12-inch facilities, 4 of them 6-inch, and 15 8-inch wafer fabs/lines. Additionally, there are 22 wafer fabs under construction, with 15 of them being 12-inch facilities and 8 being 8-inch wafer fabs.

Companies like SMIC, Nexchip, CXMT and Silan plan to construct 10 more wafer fabs, including 9 12-inch and 1 8-inch wafer fab, by the end of 2024, bringing the total to 32 large-scale wafer fabs, all focusing on mature processes.

Chinese firms have accelerated the procurement of crucial chip manufacturing equipment to support capacity expansion. According to the previous report from South China Morning Post, the import value of lithography equipment from the Netherlands, a primary exporter, surged by 1050%, reflecting substantial orders for semiconductor equipment from China in 2023.

Barclays analysts suggest that most of the new capacity will be used for producing chips using older technologies. These mature semiconductors (28nm and above) lag behind the most advanced chips by at least a decade but are widely used in household appliances and automotive systems.

While these chips could theoretically lead to a market oversupply, Barclays believes it will take several years, possibly as early as 2026, depending on quality and any new trade restrictions.

Earlier, TrendForce released statistics projecting a global ratio of mature (>28nm) to advanced (<16nm) processes around 7:3 from 2023 to 2027. With China’s mature process capacity expected to grow from 29% to 33% by 2027, driven by policies promoting local production, giants like SMIC and HuaHong Group are anticipated to lead the charge, potentially causing a flood of mature processes into the global market and triggering a price war.

美国在1950年中共介入朝鲜战争之前,

也判断中共不行,中共不敢介入战争.

中共发出了6次警告都无视,最后呢???

美国从二战之前,美国奉行孤立主义,也没有什么大规模战争的经验

结果凭着制造能力的强大,最后成了二战的胜利者

你以为美国现在还有这么强大的制造能力吗??而且中国大陆是在近海打仗,美国也不可能打的赢

你认为美国可能为了台湾,和中国大陆打上10年的战争吗?

中国大陆自己就是世界第7大产油国.

之所以 对石油需求大,是因为替世界生产商品.

一旦打起来,必然会停止对美国生产商品, 对燃料的需求必然大幅减少,

外加战时的配给制, 我不认为石油能给战时的中国造成太大的困扰.

想反,台湾的天然气只够14天的,台湾的粮食自给率只有50%, 也没有自己的油田,

也就是说, 一旦战争 超 过1个月,台湾人连烧饭都 不太可能.

大陆的主食自给率在90%以上,进口的主要是高附加值的食物,比如牛肉之类