Tiktok知名记者发消息了。是以色列air strike的导弹

https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZT8hQCPKy/

🚨EXPERT ANALYSIS: WHO BOMBED THE AL AHLI BAPTIST HOSPITAL IN GAZA?

Marine Corps Veteran expert analysis of the recent bombing incident at the hospital reveals critical findings:

- Fuel Explosion Duration: The initial explosion likely lasted 0.5-0.75 seconds, emitting light for a brief period. This suggests it is not an incendiary device.

- Parking Lot Damage: The damage in the parking lot is attributed to either overpressure or a fuel explosion. There's minimal debris near the cars.

- Shielding Effect: A surrounding building shielded one side of the parking lot, preventing diesel/gas fires from reaching the vehicles. All windows in nearby buildings shattered due to the primary and fuel explosions.

- Last Video Variation: The final video displays a smaller fuel explosion, and the submunition release is less clear.

CONCLUSION:

- The explosive device likely ranged from 300-600 lbs. Larger bombs would've scattered more debris in the parking lot than on buildings.

- A 700lb+ bomb would've caused more damage to building tops due to shockwaves.

- Most visible damage is attributed to the fuel explosion; the primary explosion likely caused structural damage.

Probable munitions and their possessors:

1. Mk-82/Mk-83 General Purpose Bombs:

- Possessed by: Multiple countries, including the US and NATO members. Versatile, unguided bombs.

2. GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb (SDB):

- Possessed by: United States and allies. Known for precision strikes.

3. GBU-12 Paveway II Laser-Guided Bomb:

- Possessed by: United States and allies. Converts unguided bombs into precise munitions.

4. AGM-65 Maverick Missile:

- Possessed by: United States and allies. Air-to-surface missile for precision strikes.

Audio Analysis: Based on the video, we can hear what the Hamas missiles and a JDAM missile sound like. Then, we have the audio of the attack on the hospital, and it sounds very similar to a JDAM missile. Hamas does not have the infrastructure and capabilities to fire a JDAM.

These insights offer clarity into the incident, highlighting potential munitions and the militaries that may possess them, and that could have been behind the attacks.

FINAL CONCLUSION:

Based on the evidence, this could not have been the Islamic Jihad, as claimed by the Israeli Defense Force, based on our analysis of the information we have so far.

They do not possess the capabilities for such advanced weaponry.

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:

This is an analysis is preliminary, and is done by a Marine Corps Veteran Explosives & Ordinance Expert, and reviewed by many others.

As I've said before, we CANNOT come to final conclusions just yet.

The IDF has denied the above claims, and has stated it shared evidence with US Intelligence, including footage and intercepted conversations, that will prove the Islamic Jihad were behind the bombing of the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital. This footage and the conversations will also be made public, according to Reuters.

The videos are compiled from various sources and do not represent our opinion in any way.

纠结弹坑的可以了解一下导弹有两种： 一种是碰到目标之后才炸（会在地面造成大的弹坑）。另外一种是是在接近目标的时候空炸，目的是造成最大杀伤力，但是不会造成周围建筑物的大规模损坏）

Missiles can be designed to physically hit their target, or to explode near it. The latter is known as a proximity fuse, and it detonates the warhead at a safe distance from the target to maximize damage. This technique is often used against air and ground targets, as it allows the missile to destroy the target without risking collateral damage to nearby buildings or people.

这个是gaza医院遇袭之前的白天

Gaza另外一处居民区被以色列轰炸的结果，

貌似也没有大弹坑

https://packaged-media.redd.it/2y1igzuxrsub1/pb/m2-res_1280p.mp4?m=DASHPlaylist.mpd&v=1&e=1697652000&s=19ea2eeca3f951c917c200d1f9883ace31898336#t=0

其实 以色列很早以前就在2006年

就在巴勒斯坦用过DIME

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dense_inert_metal_explosive

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2006/10/13/israel-accused-of-using-dime-bombs

那个会有二次，三次爆炸。这次爆炸就是一声响。你说的这种引爆弹药库的说法早就被证明是不对的了。

纠结弹坑的可以了解一下导弹有两种：

其中 一种是碰到目标之后才炸（会在地面造成大的弹坑）。

然后

另外一种是是在接近目标的时候空炸，目的是造成最大杀伤力，但是不会造成周围建筑物的大规模损坏）

其实 以色列很早以前就在2006年

就在巴勒斯坦用过DIME

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dense_inert_metal_explosive

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2006/10/13/israel-accused-of-using-dime-bombs

Missiles can be designed to physically hit their target, or to explode near it.

The latter is known as a proximity fuse, and it detonates the warhead at a safe distance from the target to maximize damage. This technique is often used against air and ground targets, as it allows the missile to destroy the target without risking collateral damage to nearby buildings or people.

-哈马斯的武器战力和以色列相比，还在史前社会

这次以色列多半使用的是DIME炸弹。

采用"高密度钝性金属炸药药"（DIME）和碳纤维外壳的GBU-39小直径炸弹(SDB)聚束杀伤型弹药（FLM）进行测试，图片里面可以看到街道上的人形目标全部被摧毁，而街道两侧的房屋依然完好